Nick Hardt vs Andrey Chepelev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Andrey Chepelev has won 39.59% of points on their second serve in recent months, while Nick Hardt has secured 41.70%. Is this indicative of a stronger performance by Hardt? Slightly, yes.
• Return Game Stats: Chepelev has achieved a 47.01% win rate on opponents' second serves, compared to Hardt's 47.23%. For first serve returns, Chepelev comes in at 30.12% and Hardt slightly higher at 31.22%. Can Hardt's marginally better return stats give him the upper hand? Potentially.
• Pressure Handling: Chepelev has saved 50.73% of breakpoints recently, while Hardt has saved 52.74%. Is Hardt more reliable under pressure? His performance suggests so.
• Overall Performance: Chepelev has won 62.37% of his matches over the past year, slightly outperforming Hardt's 59.57%. Does this give Chepelev an edge? It's a close call.
• Best Surface: Both Chepelev and Hardt excel on clay with a win rate of 61%, but Chepelev struggles more on indoor hard courts (29%) compared to Hardt's struggle on grass (33%).
• Player Level and Success: Chepelev has been successful in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events with a 62.37% win rate. Hardt, however, boasts a superior win rate of 70.59% in similar event levels.
• Quality of Opposition: Chepelev's opponents have averaged a rank of 470.55, whereas Hardt has faced tougher opponents averaging a rank of 291.11. Does Hardt have more experience against stronger competition? Yes.
• Deciding Set Performance: In deciding sets, Chepelev has a 57% win rate over the last year, while Hardt has 40%. Could Chepelev's stamina in long matches be a deciding factor? Quite possibly.

Editorial Prediction (October 20, 2025, UTC):

As the match approaches, both players showcase strengths that could sway the outcome in their favor. Nick Hardt demonstrates marginally superior second serve performance and poise under pressure, which could prove advantageous in critical moments.

Andrey Chepelev, however, exhibits a higher win rate in matches over the past year and excels in deciding sets, indicating resilience and endurance when it matters most. Despite facing less-ranked opponents, his ability to clinch crucial matches cannot be overlooked.

Additionally, while both players prefer clay surfaces where they hold an equal win percentage, Chepelev's struggle on different surfaces might not factor in this matchup given Hardt's similarly limited grass performance.

Considering these factors and their respective competition levels, the likelihood of Andrey Chepelev clinching this match appears stronger due to his consistency and decisive play in potentially extended contests.